Con 38% +2This isn't good news, and it would be very bad news if it wasn't Opinium; they consistently give the Conservatives large leads; the largest, indeed. Looking at recent polling (i.e. September to present moment), here's how the different companies compare:
Lab 23% -1
Lib Dem 15% -5
Brexit 12% +1
Green 4% +2
Large Tory leads (6% or over in majority of included polls):
- You Gov (leads range from 7% to 14%, 7 polls included)
- Opinium (Leads range from 10% to 15%, 5 polls)
- Kantar (Leads of 14%, 1 poll)
- Ipsos Mori (Lead of 9%, 1 poll)
- Panelbase (Lead of 3%, 1 poll)
- ComRes (Leads range from TIE to 4%, 5 polls)
- Survation (Leads range from 3% to 5%, 2 polls)
- Deltapoll (Lead of 3%, 1 poll; BUT a poll released 31/8 gave a Conservative lead of 11%!; make of that what you will.)
So, from that, what can we conclude? Nothing. The polls are all over the place but at least individual pollsters seem to be finding fairly consistent results. Someone is definitely wrong, and it is just about possible everyone is.
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